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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed Chair Powell does not want central bank to be hawkish, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist and Tim Urbanowicz, Innovator Capital Management head of research, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk today's market action.
Persons: Powell, John Hancock's Emily Roland Emily Roland, John, Tim Urbanowicz Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management, Capital Management
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.
Persons: , TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets 'spooked' by sticky inflation, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, and Greg Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to breakdown the latest GDP data.
Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Emily Roland, John, Greg Daco, Steve Liesman Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management Locations: EY
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina has made Fed Chair Powell's job 'a bit more difficult', says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview the Fed's meeting this week, what to expect from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, interest rate outlook, latest market trends, and more.
Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Emily Roland, John Organizations: China, John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with SoFi's Liz Young and John Hancock's Emily RolandLiz Young, SoFi head of investment strategy, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the semiconductor sector, giving back some of its gains and preparing for a possible momentum meltdown in the market.
Persons: SoFi's Liz Young, John Hancock's Emily Roland Liz Young, Emily Roland, John Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed's going to remain on hold longer than many of us expected: John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends ahead of the opening bell on Thursday.
Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Emily Roland, John Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will not be a scapegoat for a recession, says Merrill’s Matthew DiczokMatt Miskin, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, and Matt Diczok, Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank head of fixed income strategy, join 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's rate path decision, 2024 outlook, and more.
Persons: Matthew Diczok Matt Miskin, John, Matt Diczok Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management, Bank of America Private Bank Locations: Merrill
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's tremendous opportunity to lean in on high-quality bonds, says John Hancock’s Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.
Persons: John Hancock’s Emily Roland Emily Roland, John Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailShift portfolios into quality, reduce small cap exposure, says John Hancock's Matthew MiskinVictoria Greene, G Squared Private Wealth CIO, and Matthew Miskin, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: John Hancock's Matthew Miskin Victoria Greene, Matthew Miskin, John Organizations: Private Wealth, John Hancock Investment Management
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI gaining 0.1% on the month and increasing 3.3% on a year-on-year basis. The rally was due to rising investor belief that the Federal Reserve will now be less likely to hike interest rates at future meetings. LINDSAY ROSNER, HEAD OF MULTI-SECTOR FIXED INCOME INVESTING, GOLDMAN SACHS ASSET MANAGEMENT, NEW YORK“Today's Core CPI print was below expectations. "The Fed will not want to step back from its hawkish stance yet; the annual core rate at 4% is still some way away from target. THOMAS HAYES, CHAIRMAN AT HEDGE FUND GREAT HILL CAPITAL, NEW YORK"We're happy to see both headline and core CPI come in lower than expected.
Persons: Hannah Beier, ” BEN JEFFERY, GREG BASSUK, ” “, ” BRIAN JACOBSEN, MENOMONEE, we’ll, ” CHRIS ZACCARELLI, LINDSAY ROSNER, GOLDMAN, ” MATTHEW MISKIN, JOHN, , ” STUART COLE, Kashkari, Powell, PETER ANDERSEN, ANDERSEN, it's, THOMAS HAYES, OLIVER PURSCHE, It’s, Organizations: Reading, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, Treasury, Markets, BMO, Reserve, CPI, ALLIANCE, Fed, Global Finance, Thomson Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, U.S, WALTHAM, MA, WISCONSIN, CHARLOTTE, GOLDMAN SACHS, JOHN HANCOCK, BOSTON, LONDON
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the market to chop around into year-end, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the markets heading into year-end and their 2024 outlook.
Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Ed Yardeni, Emily Roland, John Organizations: Yardeni Research, John Hancock Investment Management
This year’s climb in Treasury yields is changing that calculus, as government bonds offer income that is viewed as risk-free to investors who hold them to term. The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed about a full percentage point since then. The term premium is the added compensation investors expect for owning longer-term debt and is measured using financial models. Stocks have averaged a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.8 over the last 10 years, while the term premium has averaged -0.3%. That compares with a historical average forward P/E of 15.6 and a term premium of 1.4% since 1985.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, , Quincy Krosby, Elon Musk, John Lynch, Lynch, LSEG, Matthew Miskin, Keith Lerner, ” Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Dan Burns, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Soaring U.S, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, . Treasury, BofA Global Research, LPL, Comerica Wealth Management, Reuters Graphics, John Hancock Investment Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, Advisory, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Bonds are starting to make a lot of sense for investors, Forrest said. Even after pulling back somewhat from those levels, the benchmark yield remains within striking distance of the key 5% threshold. The potential unwinding of what BofA recently called the "greatest bond bear market in history" has more investors trying to lock in higher yields ahead of potential rate cuts next year from the Federal Reserve. 'A lot for us to love bonds' Other investors are building out their bond exposure. The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) is off by more than 2% in 2023, but greater than 1% on the week.
Persons: Kim Forrest, she's, Forrest, Bonds, Treasurys, Forrest isn't, Nancy Tengler, She's, , Tengler, Bryce Doty, Emily Roland, CNBC's, I've, Roland, we've, Lawrence Gillum, Bokeh Capital's Forrest, Sit Investment's Doty, LPL Financial's Gillum, Gillum, Sit's Doty, Doty Organizations: Bokeh Capital Partners, Bank of America, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Laffer, Sit Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, LPL, Bloomberg, Bond, Aggregate Bond, Bond Market, Corporations Locations: U.S, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Trivariate's Adam Parker and John Hancock's Emily RolandAdam Parker, Trivariate Research CEO, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the stock outlook ahead of earnings.
Persons: Trivariate's Adam Parker, John Hancock's Emily Roland Adam Parker, Emily Roland, John Organizations: Trivariate, John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrivariate's Adam Parker on markets: Financial conditions are tighteningAdam Parker, Trivariate Research CEO, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the stock outlook ahead of earnings.
Persons: Trivariate's Adam Parker, Adam Parker, Emily Roland, John Organizations: Trivariate, John Hancock Investment Management
S&P 500 (.SPX) companies overall are expected to have increased earnings by 1.3% from a year ago, according to LSEG IBES. After a rough September for stocks, "we need some good news" from earnings season, said Matthew Miskin, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Inflation dampened company earnings in the first half, after consumer prices surged in 2022 to their highest levels in decades. Investors will also scrutinize company fourth-quarter outlooks, with S&P 500 earnings for the fourth quarter currently expected to rise 10.8% from a year earlier. One clue could come from the consumer discretionary sector (.SPLRCD), where earnings are expected to have jumped by 23.1% from the year-ago period.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, LSEG, Matthew Miskin, You've, you've, Miskin, Rick Meckler, John Hancock, J.P, Morgan Chase, James Ragan, Davidson, Ragan, , Oliver Pursche, Caroline Valetkevitch, Lewis Krauskopf, Megan Davies, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, John Hancock Investment Management, Cherry, Investments, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo, UnitedHealth, Wealthspire Advisors, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Westport , Connecticut
The surprisingly strong economy has led investors to worry that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer, which, in turn, drove US Treasury yields higher. As stocks have declined and bond yields have soared, bond prices have tanked, causing pain for investors who bet that the Fed would curtail its rate-hiking campaign earlier this year. Treasury yields rose to their highest level in over a decade earlier this week, before edging lower on a cooldown in employment data on Wednesday. Bond prices cratered in 2022 after the Fed began drastically raising near-zero rates to tame runaway inflation. US Treasury bond prices jumped earlier this year after the collapse of several regional lenders led traders to bet that the Fed would soon ease its aggressive pace of interest rate hikes.
Persons: , Noah Wise, Matt Miskin, FactSet, Miskin, Wise, doesn’t, you’re, ” Wise, Sam Bankman, Nathan Rehn, Allison Morrow, , ” Rehn, Read, Samantha Murphy Kelly Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Treasury, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Allspring Global Investments, John Hancock Investment Management, Fed, US Treasury, Google Locations: Manhattan, Bahamas, New York City
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect a lot of value unlocked from high-quality bonds, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, why she believes the Fed will keep rates high until something breaks, and more.
Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Emily Roland, John Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigh-quality industrials in the midwest are one of the best places to look: John Hancock's MiskinMatt Miskin, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes there are parts of the market that are relatively cheap right now, rest of year outlook, and more.
Persons: John Hancock's Miskin Matt Miskin, John Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Brian Belski, Bryn Talkington, and Emily RolandBrian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, Bryn Talkington, Requisite Capital Management managing partner, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the state of the markets.
Persons: Brian Belski, Bryn Talkington, Emily Roland Brian Belski, Emily Roland, John Organizations: BMO Capital Markets, Bryn, Capital Management, John Hancock Investment Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCNBC Pro at Future Proof: Finding quality stocks in an uncertain marketCNBC Senior Markets Correspondent Bob Pisani sits down for an interview with John Hancock Investment Management Co-Chief Investment Strategist Emily Roland from the Future Proof conference in Huntington Beach, California to discuss finding quality American stocks in an uncertain market and why bond yields could be headed for a decline
Persons: Bob Pisani, Emily Roland Organizations: CNBC, John Hancock Investment Management Locations: Huntington Beach , California
U.S. stocks are the best place for investors compared to their international counterparts, according to Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. "The U.S. is simply holding in better than the rest of the world," Roland said in an interview from the conference in Huntington Beach, California. "I would call it the cleanest shirt in dirty laundry today." Roland said part of her reasoning stems from her outlook that quality stocks will perform better in a late-cycle environment. But Roland said investors need to act quickly, as bond yields will likely "come down in a meaningful way" into the next recession.
Persons: Emily Roland, Roland, CNBC's Bob Pisani, Organizations: John Hancock Investment Management Locations: Huntington Beach , California, U.S
Many view healthcare as a defensive sector because it has constant demand and is somewhat insulated from the economy. In the latest week, investors pulled a net $1.4 billion from the sector, the biggest weekly outflow since May 2022. Overall, the healthcare sector - which ranges from health insurers like UnitedHealth to pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer to small biotechs - has received the third largest inflows of any sector year to date, BofA's data showed. This would weaken the case for loading up on healthcare stocks. Overall, healthcare sector earnings are expected to lag this year as COVID-related revenues decline 13% versus a 1.8% rise for the overall S&P 500.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Bob Kalman, Emily Roland, Dan Lyons, Janus Henderson, you've, Lyons, Kalman, Joe Biden's, Margie Patel, Patel, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Megan Davies, David Gregorio, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Atlanta Federal, BofA Global Research, Pfizer, Miramar Capital, Healthcare, John Hancock Investment Management, Janus Henderson Investors, U.S, Bristol Myers Squibb, Allspring Global Investments, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
"The U.S. consumer is on thin ice coming into the final stretch of 2023," said Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management. Further declines in the labor market will likely act as a double-edged sword for investors, relieving some inflation pressures while weighing on consumer spending. Overall consumer spending rose slightly more than expected in August, while the savings rate fell to its lowest since November 2022, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. Betting against the consumer spending has so far been a losing wager. (This story has been corrected to say BNY Mellon Investment Management, not BNY Mellon, in paragraph 10)Reporting by David Randall; editing by Megan Davies and Andy SullivanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Nordstrom, Macy's, Emily Roland, Jake Jolly, Gregory Daco, Young, Jason Draho, Sandy Villere, Mellon, David Randall, Megan Davies, Andy Sullivan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apollo Group . Department, John Hancock Investment Management, of Labor Statistics, Commerce Department, BNY Mellon Investment Management, Treasury, Ernst, Atlanta Fed's, UBS Global Wealth Management, Royal Caribbean Cruises, Villere, Thomson Locations: New York City, Russia, Ukraine, New York, U.S
This year, it’s largely been a different story, with bond yields rising on better-than-expected economic data. The S&P 500 (.SPX) has rallied over 16% from its March lows, despite a roughly 50 basis point increase in the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note over that time. That dynamic has changed in recent days, however, as Treasury yields have approached last year’s high while the S&P 500 has fallen 2% from its July peak. The bank’s analysts called rising yields "an underpriced risk" for the equity market. The S&P 500 fell 2.3% last week, its biggest weekly drop since March.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, it’s, Keith Lerner, Moody's, Peter Tuz, Refinitiv, Lerner, Matthew Miskin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Grant McCool Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., BofA Global Research, Advisory Services, Fitch, Apple, Chase Investment, John Hancock Investment Management, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, China, Charlottesville , Virginia, Truist
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